Research
11 articles tagged Research.
11 Articles
11 entries
How SpaceX's Lockup Ladder Could Reshape the September 2026 Nasdaq-100 Rebalance
SpaceX is already in the Nasdaq-100. The September question is whether its expanding float raises its index share count — and whether that passive bid can absorb 1.55 billion newly sellable shares. Mid-case: roughly $4.9 billion of forced buying, against a supply pool where a 2% sell-through cancels it out.
Read post →
The Great SpaceX Unlock
SpaceX's IPO lockup is expiring, so we ran the event study: 16 recent IPO lockup expirations, raw and beta-hedged against SPY, split by pre-lockup momentum. Stocks that arrive at their unlock already falling tend to keep falling — and SPCX arrives down 22.1% over the prior 20 sessions. Every method we ran points to roughly -20% over the next 30 days.
Read post →
The Risks You Really Own
Ten stocks, three ETFs, several crypto assets, and a few options positions can look diversified — and still be one large bet wearing different ticker symbols. Risk factors reveal what your portfolio really owns.
Read post →
The Retail Investor's Real Edge
Institutions have more money, more analysts, and better access than you do. But they work under constraints you don't, and every constraint they carry is a potential edge for you.
Read post →
Open Interest: The Market Signal Traders Miss
What open interest is, how to read it for crypto perps, and how rising or falling OI signals trend strength, reversals, and liquidation risk.
Read post →
Binance Perps vs Hyperliquid: Which to Use
Head-to-head comparison of Binance and Hyperliquid for perpetual futures — fees, depth, funding, custody, and when to use each.
Read post →
Hyperliquid vs dYdX: Which On-Chain Perps Venue Actually Wins?
A head-to-head comparison of Hyperliquid and dYdX for pro traders — fees, depth, funding, listings, and the API story.
Read post →
From Fringe to Finance: Bitcoin's Transition into a Mainstream Investment Vehicle, Part II
A deeper dive into the data around Bitcoin's transformation into a mainstream asset.
Read post →
From Fringe to Finance: Bitcoin's Transition into a Mainstream Investment Vehicle, Part I
The opinion of Bitcoin in the mainstream is changing and we're approaching an inflection point.
Read post →
Regime Detection for Basis Trading: A Complete Guide
How to implement regime detection strategies for basis trading — market regimes, Hidden Markov Models, Jump Models, and ensemble approaches.
Read post →
Liquidity Explains Everything
Next-gen crypto analytics will come from robust statistical methods, liquidity intelligence, and cross-asset regime modeling — not surface indicators.
Read post →